Capital Markets and Macro Economic Analysis
2022 Update Part II – Dux is agnostic (not bulls, nor bears)
28 August 2022 Our Founder explains our interpretation of recent market action, our positioning, and our current expectations.
2022 Update Part I – We were ahead of this rally
11 August 2022 Our Founder discusses why we were ahead of the July rally despite bearish views on the macroeconomic outlook and Federal Reserve policy.
Entertainment: Dux likes MRNA
Entertainment (credit: Columbia Pictures, Live).
Entertainment: Dux and the Turn
Entertainment (credit: History Channel, Trevor Jones, Nirvana, Cardigans, Smash Mouth).
2021 Update – Part II
22 October 2021 How we see year-end unfolding plus a name we like right here.
2021 Update – Dux is up over 45% YTD
27 August 2021 Our Founder discusses specific names highlighting what's worked and what hasn't so far this year, provides an update on some major themes discussed at our last virtual event, and outlines what we're watching going forward into YE.
Changing Attitudes in the US: “Live and Let Die”
06 May 2020 Some Americans' initial and relatively short-lived bravado for flattening the curve has quickly shifted over recent weeks. Ultimately, this is not surprising as the types of sacrifices that would have been required to sustain a suppression of the outbreak in the US have not been seen in generations. Now, many people either [ Read More ]
Bear Rally or V-Recovery: Depends on Reopening
01 May 2020 Americans have collectively done better than anyone expected; a great credit to how much we can accomplish when we put aside the things that divide us and work together. Now as we move to reopen, we have to face and overcome some unfortunate facts if we want to win on the next [ Read More ]
Oil: Super contango means consolidation in US shale
23 April 2020 As front-month WTI prices "rally" to above $15 a barrel early Thursday morning, the future is grim for many companies in the oil industry. After oil prices broke into negative territory for the first time ever on Monday, a phenomenon in the futures market as the front-month contract expired, there are few [ Read More ]
Another Potential Grey Swan Event to Watch
20 April 2020 FOREX markets are moving on an unofficial report that the North Korean leader might be seriously ill. CNN reported late on Tuesday, citing what the news outlet called "a US official with direct knowledge." This news follows earlier unconfirmed reports that the North Korean leader had undergone surgery. North Korea is a [ Read More ]